Foreclosure Talking Points
• The Mortgage Bankers Association’s latest survey (http://www.mbaa.org/NewsandMedia/PressCenter/66626.htm) shows that the percentage of loans in the foreclosure process increased from 2.75 percent in the second quarter to a record 2.97 percent in the third quarter of 2008.
• The media is sensationalizing these numbers and conveying the false impression that foreclosures are running rampant in every community across the nation.
• Certainly there is no question that rising foreclosure rates are a serious problem.
• But a close examination of the facts shows that many of these reports are grossly exaggerated.
• It’s important to note that the vast majority of American home owners – 93 percent -- are making their mortgage payments on time.
• Breaking down prime and subprime loans, more than 95 percent of prime borrowers – the bulk of the mortgage market -- are up-to-date on their payments.
• The problem is in the subprime market. Nationally, about 20 percent of subprime borrowers are behind on their mortgage payments.
• But it’s also important to remember that 37 percent of all single-family homes are owned debt-free – without any mortgage – and that home owners nationwide have built up $8.5 trillion in equity that provides a good cushion against any decline in values.
• Furthermore, housing is not a national market. All housing markets are local.
• For example, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s data show that most foreclosures are concentrated in the once super-heated markets in two states: California and Florida.
• These two states combined (California 54 percent and Florida 41 percent) have about 95 percent of all prime and subprime ARM foreclosure starts, respectively.
• And remember, prime and subprime ARMs comprise the highest share of loan foreclosures.
• Foreclosure actions began on 1.07 percent of all home loans in the third quarter, down one basis point from the previous quarter. Only nine states were above the national average: Nevada, Florida, Arizona, California, Michigan, Rhode Island, Illinois, Indiana and Ohio.
• The remaining 41 states plus the District of Columbia were below the national average.
• Still, the foreclosure problem is a major issue that needs to be addressed.
• The best way to do this is to halt the slide in home prices.
• The solution is to stimulate demand. Congress should make the recently implemented home buyer tax credit much bigger and better, and available to all purchasers.
• At the same time, it should enact a sizeable government buy down of home mortgage rates.
• Together these measures would ignite buyer demand, which would help stabilize home values, reduce foreclosures and get the housing market and economy back on the right track.
Monday, February 2, 2009
Foreclosure Talking Points
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